Determinants of Insurance Sector Development in Nigeria
Downloads
Insurance market in Nigeria like other developing African countries have remained small, less pervasive, and underdeveloped with evidence from the abysmally low density and penetration rates. These casts doubt on insurance sector development in Nigeria to question whether the issues are related to dynamics in macroeconomics, demographic, and institutional factors affect the sector. The determinants of insurance sector development in Nigeria for the period 1987 to 2020 follows a multiple regression framework through ARDLbounds cointegrationtesting. The Error Correction Model (ECM) results show the speed-of-adjustment to equilibrium-level following a short-term distortion had negative coefficients of0.02725;p=0.000<0.01and 1.08206; p=0.014<0.05 for non-life insurance density and penetration, respectively.Non-life insurance demand is positive and significantly influenced by trade openness, real interest rates, population growth, and financial development in the long run, according to long-term estimates. Non-life insurance premiums are reduced by inflation and the age of the population. This study recommends that GDP per capita be grown further through quick investment and social spending, greater exports, and a decrease in unemployment, while interest rates and inflation levels should be checked (monitored) through monetary policy activities of the apex financial institution.
Abbas, A. O., & Ning, L. (2016). Factors that drive the development of the insurance industry in Tanzania. World Journal of Finance and Investment Research, 1(1), 1-12.
Akhter, W., & Khan, S. U. (2017). Determinants of Takāful and conventional insurance demand: A regional analysis. Cogent Economics & Finance, 5(1), 129-150.
Alhassan, A. L., &Biekpe, N. (2016a). Insurance market development and economic growth. International Journal of Social Economics, 43(3), 321-339.
Alhassan, A. L., &Biekpe, N. (2016b). Determinants of life insurance consumption in Africa. Research in International Business and Finance, 37(5), 17-27.
Ando, A. K., &Modigliani, F. (1963). The life cyclehypothesis of savings: Aggregate
implications and tests. American Economic Review, 33(1), 55-84.
Beck, T., & Webb, I. (2003). Economic, demographic, and institutional determinants of life insurance consumption across countries. The World Bank Economic Review, 17(1), 51-88.
Brokešová, Z., &Vachálková, I. (2016). Macroeconomic environment and insurance industry development: The case of Visegrad group countries. Ekonomická Revue -Central European Review of Economic Issues, 19, 63-72.
Brokešová, Z., Pastoráková, E., &Ondruška, T. (2014). Determinants of insurance industry development in transition economies: Empirical analysis of Visegrad group data. The Geneva Papers, 39, 471-492.
Brown, R. L., Durbin, J., & Evans, J. M. (1975). Techniques for testing the constancy of regression relationships over time. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, 37, 149–192.
Burić, M. N., Smolović, J. C., Božović, M. L., &Filipović, A. L. (2017). Impact of economic factors on life insurance development in Western Balkan Countries. Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics: Journal of Economic Theory and Practice, 35(2), 331-352.
Chui, A. C. W., & Kwok, C. C. Y. (2009). Cultural practices and life insurance consumption: An international analysis using GLOBE scores. Journal of Multinational Financial Management, 19, 273-290.
Din, S. M. U., Regupathi, A., Abu-Bakar, A., Lim, C.-C., & Ahmed, Z. (2020). Insurance-growth nexus: A comparative analysis with multiple insurance proxies. Economic Research-EkonomskaIstraživanja, 33(1), 604–622
Dragos, S. L. (2014). Life and non-life insurance demand: The different effects of influence factors in emerging countries from Europe and Asia. Economic Research, 27(1), 169-180.
Dragoş, S. L., &Dragoş, C. M. (2013). The role of institutional factors over the national insurance demand: Theoretical approach and econometric estimations. Transylvanian Review of Administrative Sciences, 39, 32-45.
Dragoş, S. L., Mare, C., &Dragoş, C. M. (2019). Institutional drivers of life insurance consumption: A dynamic panel approach for European countries. The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance- Issues and Practice, 44(1), 36-66.
Feyen, E., Lester, R., & Rocha, R. (2013). What drives the development of the insurance sector? An empirical analysis based on a panel of developed and developing countries. Journal of Financial Perspectives, 1, 1-23.
Gaganis, C., Hasan, I., &Pasiouras, F. (2019). Cross-country evidence on the relationship between regulations and the development of the life insurance sector. Economic Modelling, Doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2019.10.024.
Guerineau, S., &Sawadogo, R. (2015). On the determinants of life insurance development in sub-Saharan Africa: The role of the institutional quality and the effect of economic development. Available at https://halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr/halshs-01178838. Assessed on August 9, 2019.
Gujarati, D. (2003). Basic econometrics (4th Edition). New York: McGraw Hill.
Harris, R., &Sollis, R. (2003). Applied time series modelling and forecasting. Wiley, West Sussex.
Ibrahim, H. (2016). Assessment of determinants of insurance companies’ performance in Nigeria. An Unpublished P.hD Thesis submitted to the Department of Business Administration, Faculty of Administration, Ahmadu Bello University, Zaria, Nigeria.
International Insurance Fact Book, 2018. Retrieved from www.iii.org/publication/international-insurance-fact-book-2015. Assessed on November 22, 2019.
Iyodo, B.Y., Samuel, S. E., &Inyada, S. J. (2018). Effect of insurance industry performance on economic growth in Nigeria. International Journal of Business and Finance Management Research, 6(3), 22-33.
Kaur, J. (2015). Insurance penetration and density in India. International Journal of Business Management, 2(1), 765-770.
Kjosevski, J. (2012). The determinants of life insurance demand in Central and Southeastern Europe. International Journal of Economics and Finance, 4(3), 237-247.
Kjosevski, J., &Petkovski, M. (2015). The determinants of non-life insurance consumption: A VECM analysis in Central and South-Eastern Europe. ActaOeconomica, 65(1), 107–127.
KPMG (2014). Sector report: Insurance in Africa. http://docplayer.net/1176120-Sector-report-insurancein-africa-kpmg-com-africa.html.
KPMG (2017). Insurance market in Africa: Where is the boom?
http://www.blog.kpmgafrica.com/insurance-market-in-africa-where-is-the-boom.
Lee, C. C., & Chang, C. H. (2015). Financial policy and insurance development: Do financial reforms matter and how? International Review of Economics and Finance, 38, 258–278.
Lee, C. C., & Chiu, Y. B. (2016). Globalisation and insurance activity: Evidence on industrial and emerging countries. North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 36, 328–349.
Lee, C. C., Chang, C. H., Arouri, M., & Lee, C. C. (2016). Economic growth and insurance development: The role of institutional environments. Economic Modelling, 59, 361-369.
Lee, C. C., Lee, C. C., & Chiu, Y. B. (2013). The link between life insurance activities and economic growth: Some new evidence. Journal of International Money and Finance, 32, 405-427.
Lee, H. S., Low, K. L. T., Chong, S. C., &Sia, B. K. (2017). Influence of secondary and tertiary literacy on life insurance consumption: Case of selected ASEAN countries. The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance-Issues and Practice, 43(1), 1-15.
Madukwe, O. D., &Anyanwaokoro, M. (2014). The causal relationship between life insurance business and economic growth in Nigeria. International Journal of Innovation and Scientific Research, 4(2), 100-109.
Masárová, I. J., &Ivanová, I. E. (2016). Development of insurance market in Slovak republic and Czech Republic. ZN WSH Zarządzanie, 4, 343-356.
Mathew, B., &Sivaraman, S. (2017). Cointegration and causality between macroeconomic variables and life insurance demand in India. International Journal of Emerging Markets, 12(4),727-741.
Meko, M., Lemie, K., &Worku, A. (2019). Determinants of life insurance demand in Ethiopia. Journal of Economics, Business & Accountancy Ventura, 21(3), 293-302.
Mishra, M. K. (2014). Demand analysis for life insurance in India: Some empirical observations. International Journal of Advanced Research, 2(5), 704-714.
Nkotsoe, L. M. (2018). Determinants of life insurance penetration in SADC. An Unpublished Master’s Thesis submitted to the Development Finance Centre (DEFIC), Graduate School of Business, University of Cape Town.
Olayungbo, D. O. (2015). Insurance and economic growth nexus in Nigeria: Asymmetric non-linear relationship under heterogeneous agents. African Development Review, 27(3), 248-261.
Park, H., Borde, S., & Choi, Y. (2002). Determinants of insurance pervasiveness: A cross-national analysis. International Business Review, 11, 79-96.
Park, S. C., &Lemaire, J. (2011). The impact of culture on the demand for non-life insurance. Insurance and risk management. Working paper presented at The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania
Pesaran, M. H., & Shin, Y. (1999). An autoregressive distributed lag modelling approach to cointegration analysis. In S. Strom (Ed.), Econometrics and Economic Theory in the 20th Century: The Ragnar Frisch centennial Symposium. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289-326.
Petkovski, M., &Kjosevski, J. (2014). An analysis of non-life insurance determinants for selected countries in Central and South-Eastern Europe: A co-integration approach. Romanian Journal of Economic Forecasting, 17(3), 160-178.
Poposki, K., Kjosevski, J., &Stojanovski, Z. (2015). The determinants of non-life insurance penetration in selected countries from South-Eastern Europe. Economics and Business Review, 15(3), 20-37.
Sanjeewa, W. S., Hongbing, O., & Hashmi, S. (2019). Determinants of life insurance consumption in emerging insurance markets of south-Asia. International Journal of Information, Business, and Management, 11(4), 109-129.
Satrovic, E., &Muslija, A. (2018). Economic and demographic determinants of the demand for life insurance: Multivariate analysis. Journal of Management and Economics Research, 16(2),102-115.
Sawadogo, R., Guerineau, S., &Ouedraogo, I. M. (2018). Life insurance development and economic growth: Evidence from developing countries. Journal of Economic Development, 43(2), 1-28.
Sen, S., &Madheswaran, S. (2013). Regional determinants of life insurance consumption: Evidence from selected Asian economies. Asian-Pacific Economic Literature, 27(2), 86-103.
Swiss Re Sigma (2019). World Insurance premiums [Data file]. www.sigma-explorer.com.
Trinh, T., Nguyen, X., &Sgro, P. (2016). Determinants of non-life insurance expenditure in developed and developing countries: An empirical investigation. Applied Economics, 48(58), 5639-5653.
Wang, C. S., &Hafner, C. M. (2018). A simple solution of the spurious regression problem. Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, 22(3), 1-14.
Wang, K-M., Lee, Y-M., Lin, C-L., & Tsai, Y. C. (2018). The effects of health shocks on life insurance consumption, economic growth, and health expenditure: A dynamic time and space analysis. Sustainable Cities and Society, 37, 34-56.
Yaari, M. E., (1965). Uncertain lifetime, life insurance, and the theory of the consumer. Review of Economic Studies, 32, 137-150.
Zerriaa, M., &Noubbigh, H. (2016). Determinants of life insurance demand in the MENA Region. The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance: Issues and Practice, 42(3), 491-511.
Zerriaa, M., Amiri, M. M., Noubbigh, H., &Naoui, K. (2017). Determinants of life insurance demand in Tunisia. African Development Review, 29(1), 69-80.
Zewge, D. (2019). Determinants of insurance business development in Ethiopia. An Unpublished MSc Dissertation submitted to the Department of Accounting and Finance, College of Business and Economics, Addis Ababa University, Tunisia.
Zyka, E., &Myftaraj, E. (2014). Factors affecting the insurance sector development: Evidence from Albania. The Romanian Economic Journal, 17(51), 171-188.