Agricultural Financing: A Panacea to Unemployment Malady in Nigeria (2000-2017)
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The study investigated the effects of agricultural financing on unemployment in Nigeria within a time scope 1999-2017. With financial injection theorem as the anchor, the study represented the dependent variable, unemployment, by unemployment rate, and the independent variable, agricultural financing, by commercial banks credit to agriculture, micro finance banks credit to agriculture, and government allocation to agriculture. It employed gross domestic product and inflation as control variables. With respect to those proxies, annualized time-series data were sourced from Central Bank Nigeria (CBN) Statistical Bulletin and reports of National Bureau of Statistics, and estimated using Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model. The study found that, agricultural financing exhibited both significant short and long run relationship with unemployment in Nigeria. It, also, found that, while agricultural financing from commercial banks and microfinance banks exhibit negative relationship with unemployment in Nigeria, government allocation to agriculture exhibited positive relationship with it. The study, therefore, concluded that, agricultural financing makes both short and long run contributions to unemployment reduction; and that, agricultural financing from the private sector contributes to poverty reduction much more than government allocation to agriculture would do. The study recommended that, government should take agricultural development policy, through agricultural financing, as the key solution to unemployment problem in Nigeria, as the sector remains the largest employer of labour in the country. Also, microfinance banks should make agriculture a priority sector; and such, branches of state and national microfinance banks should be sited at rural and semi-urban areas so as to engender agricultural development, and unemployment reduction.
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