Covid-19 Review: A Trend Analysis of the Impact of Religious Festivities and Non-Adherence to Social Distancing in Nigeria

Spread Covid 19 trend social distancing festivities plot

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May 13, 2024
June 26, 2024

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The global negative impact of Covid-19 pandemic necessitates curtailing measures and policies in case of future outbreak. A trend analysis of the spread of Covid-19 showing the effect of social gatherings especially during religious festivals was done. Covid-19 monthly spread and associated weather data from Nigerian Centre for Disease Control (NCDC) for the period of March 2020 to April 2022 was used to study the spread trend during religious festivities. The trend analysis revealed a significant spread increase for four of the geopolitical zones at r = 0.023, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000 respectively  during religious festivals. A consistent increase in the spread of the disease during religious festivals across the six zones and a downward trend immediately after the festivities. A t test value of -29.027 was significant at p-value of 0.000 confirming that the change in spread trend during festivals was not a chance occurrence